Msida St. Joseph vs Mgarr United: result 1-3 and analysis
FA Trophy1st RoundKick-off on January 13, 2024 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Victor Tedesco Stadium, Hamrun
Full time
What was the result of Msida St. Joseph vs Mgarr United?
Mgarr United won 1-3 on January 13, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 10′N. SchembriMgarr United
- 26′C. EbisindorMgarr United
- 65′Jean-Pierrre Mifsud TriganzaMsida St. Joseph
- 90′C. EbisindorMgarr United
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Msida St. Joseph have 3 wins, 0 draws and 12 defeats; Mgarr United have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2024 | Zabbar St. Patrick(away) | 0-1 | Challenge League |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Marsa(home) | 2-0 | Challenge League |
| Dec 13, 2023 | Xaghra United(home) | 5-1 | FA Trophy |
| Dec 10, 2023 | Tarxien Rainbows(home) | 0-2 | Challenge League |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Pietà Hotspurs(away) | 0-1 | Challenge League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2023 | San Gwann(away) | 1-3 | FA Trophy |
| Apr 9, 2022 | Luqa St. Andrew's(home) | 1-0 | Challenge League |
| Apr 3, 2022 | St. Andrews(away) | 0-2 | Challenge League |
| Mar 13, 2022 | Zebbug Rangers(home) | 0-4 | Challenge League |
| Mar 4, 2022 | Swieqi United(away) | 1-1 | Challenge League |
How many goals should we expect?
Msida St. Joseph score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mgarr United score 0.5 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Msida St. Joseph | 0.9 | 2.1 | 1 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Mgarr United | 0.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy