MŠK Senec vs Dunajská Lužná: prediction and stats
3. liga - WestWest - 7Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Národné tréningové centrum SFZ, Senec
The Footlab model makes MŠK Senec the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Dunajská Lužná. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win MŠK Senec vs Dunajská Lužná?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate MŠK Senec (1,541) and Dunajská Lužná (1,459).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MŠK Senec have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Dunajská Lužná have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | DAC II(home) | 0-2 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Baník Prievidza(away) | 2-1 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Častkovce(home) | 3-2 | 3. liga - West |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Malacky(away) | 2-1 | 3. liga - West |
| May 30, 2026 | Rača(home) | 0-1 | 3. liga - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nové Zámky(away) | 1-1 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Šenkvice(away) | 4-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Veľké Ludince(home) | 2-0 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Spartak Myjava(away) | 1-3 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 27, 2025 | Rača(home) | 0-3 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 MŠK Senec win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Dunajská Lužná win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | MŠK Senec 0-0 Dunajská Lužná | 3. liga - Bratislava |
| Sep 19, 2021 | Dunajská Lužná 5-1 MŠK Senec | 3. liga - Bratislava |
| Jun 20, 2021 | Dunajská Lužná 0-1 MŠK Senec | 3. liga - Bratislava |
Last archived meeting: MŠK Senec vs Dunajská Lužná on Apr 29, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
MŠK Senec score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Dunajská Lužná score 1.8 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MŠK Senec | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Dunajská Lužná | 1.8 | 1.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for MŠK Senec vs Dunajská Lužná?
- The Footlab model makes MŠK Senec the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Dunajská Lužná.
- Where and when is MŠK Senec vs Dunajská Lužná played?
- MŠK Senec vs Dunajská Lužná is played on September 19, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Národné tréningové centrum SFZ, in the 3. liga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.