Baník Prievidza vs Rača: prediction and stats
3. liga - WestWest - 7Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Futbalový štadión Prievidza, Prievidza
The Footlab model makes Baník Prievidza the favourite at 63%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for Rača. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Baník Prievidza vs Rača?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Baník Prievidza (1,582) and Rača (1,514).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baník Prievidza have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Rača have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Častkovce(home) | 4-2 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | MŠK Senec(home) | 1-2 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gabčíkovo(away) | 0-2 | 3. liga - West |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Fomat Martin(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Rača(away) | 1-1 | 3. liga - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Bernolákovo(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Trenčín II(home) | 2-3 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nové Zámky(away) | 1-1 | 3. liga - West |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Baník Prievidza(home) | 1-1 | 3. liga - West |
| May 30, 2026 | MŠK Senec(away) | 1-0 | 3. liga - West |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Baník Prievidza win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Rača win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | Rača 1-1 Baník Prievidza | 3. liga - West |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Baník Prievidza 1-0 Rača | 3. liga - West |
Last archived meeting: Rača vs Baník Prievidza on Jun 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Baník Prievidza score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Rača score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baník Prievidza | 2.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Rača | 1.5 | 1.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rača | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 41 | 25 | 60 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Baník Prievidza vs Rača?
- The Footlab model makes Baník Prievidza the favourite at 63%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for Rača.
- Where and when is Baník Prievidza vs Rača played?
- Baník Prievidza vs Rača is played on September 19, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Futbalový štadión Prievidza, in the 3. liga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.