Nové Zámky vs Nitra: prediction and stats
3. liga - WestWest - 7Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Štadión Ladislava Gancznera, Nové Zámky
The Footlab model makes Nitra the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Nové Zámky. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nové Zámky vs Nitra?
Nové Zámky starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,591 vs 1,481).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nové Zámky have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Nitra have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dunajská Lužná(home) | 1-1 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Družstevník Bešeňov(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Komárno II(away) | 2-0 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rača(home) | 1-1 | 3. liga - West |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Komárno II(home) | 4-0 | 3. liga - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Spartak Myjava(away) | 5-1 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Dolné Krškany(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Častkovce(home) | 3-2 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Púchov(away) | 0-0 | 3. liga - West |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Trenčín II(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Nové Zámky win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Nitra win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 2022 | Nitra 0-1 Nové Zámky | 3. liga - West |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Nové Zámky 2-1 Nitra | 3. liga - West |
How many goals should we expect?
Nové Zámky score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Nitra score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nové Zámky | 1.7 | 1.0 | 7 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Nitra | 2.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nové Zámky | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 41 | 45 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nové Zámky vs Nitra?
- The Footlab model makes Nitra the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Nové Zámky.
- Where and when is Nové Zámky vs Nitra played?
- Nové Zámky vs Nitra is played on September 19, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Štadión Ladislava Gancznera, in the 3. liga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.