Match

MSV Duisburg vs Rot-Weiß Essen: prediction and stats

3. LigaMatchday 36Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena, Duisburg

MSV DuisburgRot-Weiß Essen

The Footlab AI model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Rot-Weiß Essen. The most likely score is 1-1. If MSV Duisburg wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,490 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win MSV Duisburg vs Rot-Weiß Essen?

A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate MSV Duisburg (2,053) and Rot-Weiß Essen (2,014).

46%24%30%
MSV Duisburg winDrawRot-Weiß Essen win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for MSV Duisburg vs Rot-Weiß Essen

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

MSV Duisburg

3-4-3
  1. 11D. Kother
  2. 14C. Noß
  3. 9L. Lobinger
  1. 6R. Bulić
  2. 8A. Casar
  3. 20N. Jessen
  4. 27C. Coşkun
  1. 40B. Schlicke
  2. 29J. Bitter
  3. 5T. Fleckstein
  1. 1M. Braune

Rot-Weiß Essen

4-2-3-1
  1. 20M. Janssen
  1. 22J. Sietan
  2. 11Noah Pesch
  3. 18D. Abiama
  4. 14L. Brumme
  5. 16R. Reisig
  1. 23J. Ríos Alonso
  2. 15Ben Vincent Hüning
  3. 19F. Bouebari
  4. 37J. Hofmann
  1. 1J. Golz

Computed on November 12, 2026 at 12:39 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MSV Duisburg have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Rot-Weiß Essen have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

MSV Duisburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Preußen Münster(away)2-13. Liga
Oct 31, 2026Stuttgart II(home)3-33. Liga
Oct 24, 2026FC Ingolstadt 04(away)1-23. Liga
Oct 18, 2026FC Viktoria Köln(home)1-13. Liga
Oct 13, 2026FC Saarbrücken(away)4-23. Liga
Rot-Weiß Essen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Alemannia Aachen(home)1-03. Liga
Nov 1, 2026SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away)1-03. Liga
Oct 27, 2026RB Leipzig(home)1-2DFB Pokal
Oct 23, 2026SSV Jahn Regensburg(home)1-03. Liga
Oct 17, 2026FC Ingolstadt 04(away)0-13. Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 MSV Duisburg wins, 3 draws, 3 Rot-Weiß Essen wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 4, 2026Rot-Weiß Essen 1-0 MSV Duisburg3. Liga
Oct 26, 2025MSV Duisburg 1-1 Rot-Weiß Essen3. Liga
Apr 7, 2024Rot-Weiß Essen 4-1 MSV Duisburg3. Liga
Oct 28, 2023MSV Duisburg 1-2 Rot-Weiß Essen3. Liga
Feb 5, 2023Rot-Weiß Essen 1-1 MSV Duisburg3. Liga
Aug 5, 2022MSV Duisburg 2-2 Rot-Weiß Essen3. Liga

Last archived meeting: Rot-Weiß Essen vs MSV Duisburg on Apr 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

MSV Duisburg score 2.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Rot-Weiß Essen score 1.6 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
MSV Duisburg2.31.4312/1513/15
Rot-Weiß Essen1.60.886/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

MSV Duisburg sit 2nd in 3. Liga (29 points from 13 matches) and Rot-Weiß Essen sit 3rd (27 points from 13 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2MSV Duisburg13922331829
3Rot-Weiß Essen13832211327

A question about MSV Duisburg vs Rot-Weiß Essen?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for MSV Duisburg vs Rot-Weiß Essen?
The Footlab AI model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Rot-Weiß Essen.
Where and when is MSV Duisburg vs Rot-Weiß Essen played?
MSV Duisburg vs Rot-Weiß Essen is played on May 8, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: MSV Duisburg and Rot-Weiß Essen