Where and when is Alemannia Aachen vs MSV Duisburg played?

Alemannia Aachen vs MSV Duisburg is played on May 15, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Neuer Tivoli, in the 3. Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Alemannia Aachen vs MSV Duisburg: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 37Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Neuer Tivoli, Aachen

Alemannia Aachen

MSV Duisburg

The Footlab model makes Alemannia Aachen the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for MSV Duisburg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Alemannia Aachen vs MSV Duisburg?

A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Alemannia Aachen (2,028) and MSV Duisburg (2,032).

Alemannia Aachen win45 %

Draw24 %

MSV Duisburg win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alemannia Aachen have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; MSV Duisburg have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Alemannia Aachen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Fortuna Köln(away)	1-1	3. Liga
Aug 9, 2026	Verl(home)	4-1	3. Liga
Aug 2, 2026	Eintracht Trier(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Roda(away)	4-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 10, 2026	SV Breinig(away)	5-0	Friendlies Clubs

MSV Duisburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	SV Elversberg(home)	1-3	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Verl(away)	4-2	3. Liga
Aug 8, 2026	SV Meppen(home)	3-0	3. Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Sparta Rotterdam(away)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Arminia Bielefeld(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Alemannia Aachen win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 MSV Duisburg win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 24, 2026	Alemannia Aachen 3-1 MSV Duisburg	3. Liga
Nov 29, 2025	MSV Duisburg 3-1 Alemannia Aachen	3. Liga
Apr 14, 2012	MSV Duisburg 2-0 Alemannia Aachen	2. Bundesliga
Nov 6, 2011	Alemannia Aachen 2-2 MSV Duisburg	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Alemannia Aachen vs MSV Duisburg on Apr 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Alemannia Aachen score 3.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; MSV Duisburg score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Alemannia Aachen	3.0	0.9	3	11/15	11/15
MSV Duisburg	1.8	1.3	4	10/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Alemannia Aachen sit 4th in 3. Liga (4 points from 2 matches) and MSV Duisburg sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MSV Duisburg	2	2	0	0	7	2	6
4	Alemannia Aachen	2	1	1	0	5	2	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Alemannia Aachen vs MSV Duisburg?: The Footlab model makes Alemannia Aachen the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for MSV Duisburg.
Where and when is Alemannia Aachen vs MSV Duisburg played?: Alemannia Aachen vs MSV Duisburg is played on May 15, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Neuer Tivoli, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.