Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 37Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion an der Hafenstraße, Essen
The Footlab model makes Rot-Weiß Essen the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Fortuna Düsseldorf. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Rot-Weiß Essen (1,974) and Fortuna Düsseldorf (1,911).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rot-Weiß Essen have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Fortuna Düsseldorf have 7, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC St. Pauli(home) | 2-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Havelse(home) | 1-0 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Saarbrücken(away) | 2-5 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SC Freiburg(home) | 1-5 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(home) | 0-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Waldhof Mannheim(away) | 1-2 | 3. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Lask Linz(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Rot-Weiß Essen win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Fortuna Düsseldorf win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2020 | Rot-Weiß Essen 3-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 9, 2015 | Rot-Weiß Essen 0-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf | DFB Pokal |
Last archived meeting: Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf on Dec 23, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Rot-Weiß Essen score 2.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Fortuna Düsseldorf score 2.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rot-Weiß Essen | 2.1 | 2.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rot-Weiß Essen sit 14th in 3. Liga (3 points from 2 matches) and Fortuna Düsseldorf sit 18th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 18 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
- The Footlab model makes Rot-Weiß Essen the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Fortuna Düsseldorf.
- Where and when is Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf played?
- Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf is played on May 15, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion an der Hafenstraße, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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