Match

Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 37Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion an der Hafenstraße, Essen

Rot-Weiß EssenFortuna Düsseldorf

The Footlab model makes Rot-Weiß Essen the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Fortuna Düsseldorf. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Rot-Weiß Essen (1,974) and Fortuna Düsseldorf (1,911).

Rot-Weiß Essen win51 %
Draw23 %
Fortuna Düsseldorf win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rot-Weiß Essen have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Fortuna Düsseldorf have 7, 0 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Rot-Weiß Essen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026FC St. Pauli(home)2-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Havelse(home)1-03. Liga
Aug 9, 2026FC Saarbrücken(away)2-53. Liga
Aug 1, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Fortuna Düsseldorf
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026SC Freiburg(home)1-5DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Hoffenheim II(home)0-23. Liga
Aug 7, 2026Waldhof Mannheim(away)1-23. Liga
Jul 25, 2026Borussia Dortmund(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Lask Linz(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Rot-Weiß Essen win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Fortuna Düsseldorf win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 23, 2020Rot-Weiß Essen 3-2 Fortuna DüsseldorfDFB Pokal
Aug 9, 2015Rot-Weiß Essen 0-0 Fortuna DüsseldorfDFB Pokal

Last archived meeting: Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf on Dec 23, 2020

How many goals should we expect?

Rot-Weiß Essen score 2.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Fortuna Düsseldorf score 2.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Rot-Weiß Essen2.12.157/1510/15
Fortuna Düsseldorf2.41.537/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Rot-Weiß Essen sit 14th in 3. Liga (3 points from 2 matches) and Fortuna Düsseldorf sit 18th (0 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Rot-Weiß Essen2101353
18Fortuna Düsseldorf2002140

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
The Footlab model makes Rot-Weiß Essen the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Fortuna Düsseldorf.
Where and when is Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf played?
Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf is played on May 15, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion an der Hafenstraße, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Rot-Weiß Essen and Fortuna Düsseldorf

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