Where and when is SSV Jahn Regensburg vs MSV Duisburg played?

SSV Jahn Regensburg vs MSV Duisburg is played on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Jahnstadion Regensburg, in the 3. Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

SSV Jahn Regensburg vs MSV Duisburg: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Jahnstadion Regensburg, Regensburg

SSV Jahn Regensburg

MSV Duisburg

The Footlab model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for SSV Jahn Regensburg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SSV Jahn Regensburg vs MSV Duisburg?

MSV Duisburg starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (2,032 vs 1,906).

SSV Jahn Regensburg win31 %

Draw25 %

MSV Duisburg win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SSV Jahn Regensburg have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; MSV Duisburg have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SSV Jahn Regensburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	FC Saarbrücken(home)	0-1	3. Liga
Aug 8, 2026	FC Viktoria Köln(away)	5-2	3. Liga
Aug 1, 2026	SSV Ulm 1846(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Stuttgarter Kickers(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 15, 2026	Vilzing(home)	2-3	Friendlies Clubs

MSV Duisburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	SV Elversberg(home)	1-3	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Verl(away)	4-2	3. Liga
Aug 8, 2026	SV Meppen(home)	3-0	3. Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Sparta Rotterdam(away)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Arminia Bielefeld(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 SSV Jahn Regensburg win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 MSV Duisburg win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 24, 2026	MSV Duisburg 2-0 SSV Jahn Regensburg	3. Liga
Aug 10, 2025	SSV Jahn Regensburg 0-4 MSV Duisburg	3. Liga
Feb 4, 2024	MSV Duisburg 0-1 SSV Jahn Regensburg	3. Liga
Sep 3, 2023	SSV Jahn Regensburg 2-1 MSV Duisburg	3. Liga
Mar 9, 2019	SSV Jahn Regensburg 1-1 MSV Duisburg	2. Bundesliga
Sep 29, 2018	MSV Duisburg 1-3 SSV Jahn Regensburg	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: MSV Duisburg vs SSV Jahn Regensburg on Jan 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SSV Jahn Regensburg score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; MSV Duisburg score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
SSV Jahn Regensburg	1.9	1.4	3	9/15	9/15
MSV Duisburg	1.8	1.3	4	10/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SSV Jahn Regensburg sit 8th in 3. Liga (3 points from 2 matches) and MSV Duisburg sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MSV Duisburg	2	2	0	0	7	2	6
8	SSV Jahn Regensburg	2	1	0	1	5	3	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SSV Jahn Regensburg vs MSV Duisburg?: The Footlab model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for SSV Jahn Regensburg.
Where and when is SSV Jahn Regensburg vs MSV Duisburg played?: SSV Jahn Regensburg vs MSV Duisburg is played on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Jahnstadion Regensburg, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.