Mtarfa vs Mgarr United: result 0-2 and analysis
Challenge League1st Phase - 4Kick-off on October 19, 2024 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Victor Tedesco Stadium, Hamrun
Full time
What was the result of Mtarfa vs Mgarr United?
Mgarr United won 0-2 on October 19, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 6′J. SudaMgarr United
- 59′?Mgarr United
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mtarfa have 1 wins, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Mgarr United have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2024 | Senglea Athletic(away) | 1-2 | Challenge League |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Fgura United(home) | 1-2 | Challenge League |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Tarxien Rainbows(away) | 0-2 | Challenge League |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Attard(away) | 2-5 | Challenge League |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Vittoriosa Stars(home) | 0-0 | Challenge League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2024 | St. Andrews(home) | 2-1 | Challenge League |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Zebbug Rangers(away) | 1-1 | Challenge League |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Gudja United(home) | 0-1 | Challenge League |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Gzira United(away) | 0-2 | FA Trophy |
| Feb 7, 2024 | Santa Lucía(away) | 3-3 | FA Trophy |
How many goals should we expect?
Mtarfa score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mgarr United score 0.8 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mtarfa | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Mgarr United | 0.8 | 1.9 | 1 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mtarfa sit 16th in Challenge League (-2 points from 15 matches) and Mgarr United sit 1st (33 points from 22 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mgarr United | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 41 | 33 | 33 |
| 16 | Mtarfa | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 67 | -2 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy