Mtarfa vs Mqabba: result 1-0 and analysis
Challenge League1st Phase - 17Kick-off on January 8, 2023 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Victor Tedesco Stadium, Hamrun
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What was the result of Mtarfa vs Mqabba?
Mtarfa won 1-0 on January 8, 2023.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mtarfa have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Mqabba have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2022 | Zejtun Corinthians(away) | 1-0 | Challenge League |
| Dec 18, 2022 | Qrendi(home) | 2-3 | Challenge League |
| Dec 15, 2022 | Marsa(away) | 0-2 | Challenge League |
| Dec 10, 2022 | Sliema Wanderers(home) | 1-3 | Challenge League |
| Dec 3, 2022 | Vittoriosa Stars(away) | 0-3 | Challenge League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2022 | Marsaskala(home) | 3-3 | Challenge League |
| Dec 19, 2022 | Tarxien Rainbows(away) | 2-1 | Challenge League |
| Dec 14, 2022 | Zurrieq(home) | 1-0 | Challenge League |
| Dec 10, 2022 | Swieqi United(away) | 5-5 | Challenge League |
| Dec 3, 2022 | Lija Athletic(home) | 1-2 | Challenge League |
How many goals should we expect?
Mtarfa score 0.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Mqabba score 1.5 and concede 2.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mtarfa | 0.7 | 1.8 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Mqabba | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Mtarfa | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 67 | -2 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy