MTE 1904 vs Balatonalmádi: prediction and stats
NB III - NorthwestNorthwest - 17Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Wittmann Antal park, Mosonmagyaróvár
The Footlab model makes MTE 1904 the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Balatonalmádi. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win MTE 1904 vs Balatonalmádi?
MTE 1904 starts as the favourite with a 227-point Elo edge (1,575 vs 1,348).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MTE 1904 have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Balatonalmádi have 2, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Veszprém(away) | 1-1 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Balatonalmádi(away) | 1-0 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Király SZE(home) | 3-2 | NB III - Northwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sárisápi Bányász(home) | 3-0 | NB III - Northwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Zsámbéki SK(away) | 6-1 | NB III - Northwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gyori ETO II(home) | 0-2 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | MTE 1904(home) | 0-1 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Haladás VSE(away) | 1-6 | NB III - Northwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dorogi FC(away) | 1-4 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Komárom(home) | 1-2 | Magyar Kupa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 MTE 1904 win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Balatonalmádi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Balatonalmádi 0-1 MTE 1904 | NB III - Northwest |
Last archived meeting: Balatonalmádi vs MTE 1904 on Aug 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
MTE 1904 score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Balatonalmádi score 1.3 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTE 1904 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Balatonalmádi | 1.3 | 2.7 | 3 | 5/13 | 9/13 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
MTE 1904 sit 2nd in NB III - Northwest (10 points from 4 matches) and Balatonalmádi sit 17th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | MTE 1904 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 10 |
| 17 | Balatonalmádi | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for MTE 1904 vs Balatonalmádi?
- The Footlab model makes MTE 1904 the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Balatonalmádi.
- Where and when is MTE 1904 vs Balatonalmádi played?
- MTE 1904 vs Balatonalmádi is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Wittmann Antal park, in the NB III - Northwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.