Mtibwa Sugar vs KMC: result 4-3 and analysis
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 23Kick-off on May 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Jamhuri Stadium Morogoro, Morogoro
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What was the result of Mtibwa Sugar vs KMC?
Mtibwa Sugar won 4-3 on May 14, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 34′F. MagataMtibwa Sugar
- 44′O. G. MasaiMtibwa Sugar
- 47′S. MkopiMtibwa Sugar
- 50′D. SalibokoKMC (pen.)
- 53′K. MsafiriMtibwa Sugar
- 57′A. RamadhaniKMC
- 86′A. UlediKMC
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mtibwa Sugar have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; KMC have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(away) | 0-4 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 6, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(home) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 2, 2026 | Azam(home) | 0-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Fountain Gate(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Coastal Union(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Fountain Gate(home) | 2-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 6, 2026 | Young Africans(home) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Apr 30, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Apr 14, 2026 | Tanzania Prisons(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Mtibwa Sugar win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 KMC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2025 | KMC 0-0 Mtibwa Sugar | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Apr 16, 2024 | Mtibwa Sugar 0-1 KMC | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 31, 2023 | KMC 1-0 Mtibwa Sugar | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jan 13, 2023 | Mtibwa Sugar 1-1 KMC | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 15, 2022 | KMC 2-1 Mtibwa Sugar | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 12, 2022 | KMC 3-2 Mtibwa Sugar | Ligi kuu Bara |
How many goals should we expect?
Mtibwa Sugar score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; KMC score 0.5 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mtibwa Sugar | 0.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| KMC | 0.5 | 1.6 | 2 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mtibwa Sugar sit 13th in Ligi kuu Bara (27 points from 27 matches) and KMC sit 16th (9 points from 27 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Mtibwa Sugar | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 41 | 27 |
| 16 | KMC | 27 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 47 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy