MTK Budapest II vs Sárbogárd: prediction and stats
NB III - SouthwestSouthwest - 14Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Sándor Károly Labdarúgó Akadémia, Budapest
The Footlab AI model makes MTK Budapest II the favourite at 89%, against 8% for a draw and 3% for Sárbogárd. The most likely score is 3-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,677 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win MTK Budapest II vs Sárbogárd?
MTK Budapest II starts as the favourite with a 220-point Elo edge (1,538 vs 1,318).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for MTK Budapest II vs Sárbogárd
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
MTK Budapest II
Not enough data to predict the MTK Budapest II lineup.
Sárbogárd
Not enough data to predict the Sárbogárd lineup.
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 11:47 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MTK Budapest II have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Sárbogárd have 1, 2 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Kaposvar(home) | 3-4 | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Iváncsa(away) | 2-5 | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Érdi VSE(home) | 3-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ferencváros II(away) | 0-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Pécsi MFC(away) | 0-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Paksi SE II(home) | 0-6 | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kaposvar(away) | 0-7 | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Iváncsa(away) | 1-4 | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Budaörs(home) | 1-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Érdi VSE(away) | 3-4 | NB III - Southwest |
How many goals should we expect?
MTK Budapest II score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sárbogárd score 0.7 and concede 3.3. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTK Budapest II | 2.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Sárbogárd | 0.7 | 3.3 | 0 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
MTK Budapest II sit 11th in NB III - Southwest (15 points from 11 matches) and Sárbogárd sit 14th (5 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | MTK Budapest II | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 15 |
| 14 | Sárbogárd | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 37 | 5 |
A question about MTK Budapest II vs Sárbogárd?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for MTK Budapest II vs Sárbogárd?
- The Footlab AI model makes MTK Budapest II the favourite at 89%, against 8% for a draw and 3% for Sárbogárd.
- Where and when is MTK Budapest II vs Sárbogárd played?
- MTK Budapest II vs Sárbogárd is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Sándor Károly Labdarúgó Akadémia, in the NB III - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.