Muğlaspor vs Bodrum FK: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 22Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Muğla Atatürk Stadyumu, Muğla
The Footlab model makes Muğlaspor the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Bodrum FK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Muğlaspor vs Bodrum FK?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Muğlaspor (1,808) and Bodrum FK (1,873).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Muğlaspor have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Bodrum FK have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bodrum FK(away) | 0-0 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bandırmaspor(home) | 0-0 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sarıyer(away) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| May 10, 2026 | Elazığspor(home) | 0-0 | 2. Lig |
| May 4, 2026 | Şanlıurfaspor(home) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Muğlaspor(home) | 0-0 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | İstanbulspor(away) | 2-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bursaspor(home) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| May 15, 2026 | Çorum FK(away) | 0-1 | 1. Lig |
| May 11, 2026 | Çorum FK(home) | 1-0 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Muğlaspor win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Bodrum FK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bodrum FK 0-0 Muğlaspor | 1. Lig |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Muğlaspor 1-2 Bodrum FK | Türkiye Kupası |
| Sep 6, 2016 | Bodrum FK 0-0 Muğlaspor | Türkiye Kupası |
Last archived meeting: Bodrum FK vs Muğlaspor on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Muğlaspor score 0.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bodrum FK score 1.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muğlaspor | 0.8 | 0.7 | 8 | 2/15 | 3/15 |
| Bodrum FK | 1.0 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Muğlaspor sit 18th in 1. Lig (2 points from 3 matches) and Bodrum FK sit 17th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bodrum FK | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 18 | Muğlaspor | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Muğlaspor vs Bodrum FK?
- The Footlab model makes Muğlaspor the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Bodrum FK.
- Where and when is Muğlaspor vs Bodrum FK played?
- Muğlaspor vs Bodrum FK is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Muğla Atatürk Stadyumu, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.