Muharraq vs Malkiya: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stād al-Bahrayn al-Watanī (Bahrain National Stadium), Riffa
The Footlab AI model makes Muharraq the favourite at 67%, against 23% for a draw and 10% for Malkiya. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Muharraq vs Malkiya?
Muharraq starts as the favourite with a 284-point Elo edge (1,779 vs 1,495).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Muharraq vs Malkiya
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Muharraq
4-2-3-1- 37Edimar Ribeiro da Costa
- 80Arthur Rezende
- 15Hanan
- 96R. Kobiljar
- 8M. Al Hardan
- 11S. Mahrouq
- 5Amine Benaddi
- 32A. Al Khalasi
- 13Bruno Santos
- 27M. Al Banna
- 1V. Đekić
Malkiya
Not enough data to predict the Malkiya lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:12 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Muharraq have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Malkiya have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Khalidiya(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Arkadag(away) | 0-1 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Manama(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Al Ittifaq Maqaba(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Al Ahli(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Al Riffa(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | A'Ali(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Al Najma(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Sitra(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| May 16, 2026 | Sitra(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Muharraq wins, 4 draws, 0 Malkiya wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Malkiya 0-1 Muharraq | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Muharraq 1-1 Malkiya | Premier League |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Muharraq 3-0 Malkiya | Premier League |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Malkiya 1-1 Muharraq | Premier League |
| Oct 7, 2021 | Muharraq 2-2 Malkiya | Federation Cup |
| May 1, 2021 | Muharraq 1-1 Malkiya | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Muharraq score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Malkiya score 0.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muharraq | 1.5 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Malkiya | 0.8 | 1.0 | 5 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Muharraq sit 6th in Premier League (5 points from 4 matches) and Malkiya sit 11th (1 point from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Muharraq | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| 11 | Malkiya | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
A question about Muharraq vs Malkiya?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Muharraq vs Malkiya?
- The Footlab AI model makes Muharraq the favourite at 67%, against 23% for a draw and 10% for Malkiya.
- Where and when is Muharraq vs Malkiya played?
- Muharraq vs Malkiya is played on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stād al-Bahrayn al-Watanī (Bahrain National Stadium), in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.