Municipal Limeño vs FAS: prediction and stats
Primera DivisionApertura - 12Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Dr. Ramón Flores Berríos, Santa Rosa de Lima
The Footlab model makes FAS the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Municipal Limeño. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Municipal Limeño vs FAS?
FAS starts as the favourite with a 133-point Elo edge (1,793 vs 1,660).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Municipal Limeño have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; FAS have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cacahuatique(away) | 3-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Inter(home) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Firpo(away) | 0-2 | Primera Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Platense(home) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Inca Aruba(home) | 2-0 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Águila(home) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Municipal(home) | 1-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Platense(away) | 1-2 | Primera Division |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Verdes(home) | 4-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Atletico Balboa(home) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Municipal Limeño win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 FAS win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | FAS 3-1 Municipal Limeño | Primera Division |
| May 18, 2026 | FAS 2-0 Municipal Limeño | Primera Division |
| May 15, 2026 | Municipal Limeño 1-0 FAS | Primera Division |
| Apr 2, 2026 | FAS 2-0 Municipal Limeño | Primera Division |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Municipal Limeño 1-1 FAS | Primera Division |
| Oct 12, 2025 | FAS 2-1 Municipal Limeño | Primera Division |
Last archived meeting: FAS vs Municipal Limeño on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Municipal Limeño score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; FAS score 1.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Municipal Limeño | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| FAS | 1.5 | 0.8 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Municipal Limeño sit 7th in Primera Division (7 points from 6 matches) and FAS sit 4th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FAS | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 10 |
| 7 | Municipal Limeño | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Municipal Limeño vs FAS?
- The Footlab model makes FAS the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Municipal Limeño.
- Where and when is Municipal Limeño vs FAS played?
- Municipal Limeño vs FAS is played on September 27, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Dr. Ramón Flores Berríos, in the Primera Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.