Platense vs Fuerte San Francisco: prediction and stats
Primera DivisionApertura - 12Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Antonio Toledo Valle, Zacatecoluca
The Footlab model makes Platense the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Fuerte San Francisco. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Platense vs Fuerte San Francisco?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Platense (1,547) and Fuerte San Francisco (1,477).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Platense have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Fuerte San Francisco have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Firpo(away) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 17, 2026 | FAS(home) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Inca Aruba(home) | 2-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Municipal Limeño(away) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Fuerte San Francisco(away) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Atletico Balboa(away) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Isidro Metapán(home) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Cacahuatique(away) | 0-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Inter(home) | 2-2 | Primera Division |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Firpo(away) | 0-4 | Primera Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Platense win(s), 5 draw(s), 1 Fuerte San Francisco win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Fuerte San Francisco 1-1 Platense | Primera Division |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Fuerte San Francisco 1-0 Platense | Copa Presidente |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Fuerte San Francisco 1-1 Platense | Primera Division |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Platense 1-1 Fuerte San Francisco | Copa Presidente |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Platense 1-1 Fuerte San Francisco | Primera Division |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Fuerte San Francisco 0-0 Platense | Primera Division |
Last archived meeting: Fuerte San Francisco vs Platense on Jul 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Platense score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Fuerte San Francisco score 0.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Platense | 1.0 | 0.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 2/15 |
| Fuerte San Francisco | 0.7 | 1.2 | 3 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Platense sit 6th in Primera Division (8 points from 5 matches) and Fuerte San Francisco sit 9th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Platense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 9 | Fuerte San Francisco | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Platense vs Fuerte San Francisco?
- The Footlab model makes Platense the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Fuerte San Francisco.
- Where and when is Platense vs Fuerte San Francisco played?
- Platense vs Fuerte San Francisco is played on September 27, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Antonio Toledo Valle, in the Primera Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.