Municipal Limeño vs Firpo: prediction and stats
Primera DivisionApertura - 15Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Dr. Ramón Flores Berríos, Santa Rosa de Lima
The Footlab model makes Firpo the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Municipal Limeño. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Municipal Limeño vs Firpo?
Firpo starts as the favourite with a 159-point Elo edge (1,803 vs 1,644).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Municipal Limeño have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Firpo have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cacahuatique(away) | 3-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Inter(home) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Firpo(away) | 0-2 | Primera Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Platense(home) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Inca Aruba(home) | 2-0 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Platense(home) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 21, 2026 | LD Alajuelense(home) | 1-0 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Inca Aruba(away) | 0-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Diriangén(home) | 4-0 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Municipal Limeño(home) | 2-0 | Primera Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Municipal Limeño win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Firpo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Firpo 2-0 Municipal Limeño | Primera Division |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Municipal Limeño 2-1 Firpo | Primera Division |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Firpo 2-0 Municipal Limeño | Primera Division |
| Sep 22, 2025 | Firpo 1-1 Municipal Limeño | Primera Division |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Municipal Limeño 1-3 Firpo | Primera Division |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Firpo 2-2 Municipal Limeño | Primera Division |
Last archived meeting: Firpo vs Municipal Limeño on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Municipal Limeño score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Firpo score 1.6 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Municipal Limeño | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Firpo | 1.6 | 0.6 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Municipal Limeño sit 7th in Primera Division (7 points from 6 matches) and Firpo sit 3rd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Firpo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | Municipal Limeño | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Municipal Limeño vs Firpo?
- The Footlab model makes Firpo the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Municipal Limeño.
- Where and when is Municipal Limeño vs Firpo played?
- Municipal Limeño vs Firpo is played on October 11, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Dr. Ramón Flores Berríos, in the Primera Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.