Alianza vs Inter: prediction and stats
Primera DivisionApertura - 15Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Cuscatlán, San Salvador
The Footlab model makes Alianza the favourite at 36%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Inter. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alianza vs Inter?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Alianza (1,707) and Inter (1,658).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alianza have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Inter have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Isidro Metapán(away) | 0-2 | Primera Division |
| Aug 20, 2026 | CD Marathon(away) | 1-0 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Cacahuatique(home) | 0-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Real Estelí(away) | 1-3 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Inter(away) | 0-2 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Inca Aruba(home) | 4-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Municipal Limeño(away) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Alianza(home) | 2-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Fuerte San Francisco(away) | 2-2 | Primera Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Águila(home) | 0-0 | Primera Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Alianza win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Inter win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Inter 2-0 Alianza | Primera Division |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Inter 2-0 Alianza | Primera Division |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Alianza 1-3 Inter | Primera Division |
| Sep 22, 2025 | Inter 0-1 Alianza | Primera Division |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Alianza 0-0 Inter | Primera Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Alianza score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Inter score 1.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alianza | 1.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Inter | 1.6 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alianza sit 10th in Primera Division (4 points from 4 matches) and Inter sit 2nd (12 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Inter | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| 10 | Alianza | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alianza vs Inter?
- The Footlab model makes Alianza the favourite at 36%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Inter.
- Where and when is Alianza vs Inter played?
- Alianza vs Inter is played on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Cuscatlán, in the Primera Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.