Águila vs Isidro Metapán: prediction and stats
Primera DivisionApertura - 15Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Francisco Barraza, San Miguel
The Footlab model makes Águila the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Isidro Metapán. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Águila vs Isidro Metapán?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Águila (1,689) and Isidro Metapán (1,642).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Águila have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Isidro Metapán have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FAS(away) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Atletico Balboa(home) | 2-4 | Primera Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Isidro Metapán(away) | 1-2 | Primera Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Cacahuatique(away) | 2-2 | Primera Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Inter(away) | 0-0 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Alianza(home) | 2-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fuerte San Francisco(away) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Águila(home) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Atletico Balboa(away) | 0-0 | Primera Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | FAS(home) | 2-0 | Primera Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Águila win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Isidro Metapán win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Isidro Metapán 2-1 Águila | Primera Division |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Águila 1-1 Isidro Metapán | Primera Division |
| Jan 22, 2026 | Isidro Metapán 4-2 Águila | Primera Division |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Isidro Metapán 0-2 Águila | Primera Division |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Águila 2-1 Isidro Metapán | Primera Division |
| Sep 25, 2025 | Águila 1-2 Isidro Metapán | Primera Division |
Last archived meeting: Isidro Metapán vs Águila on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Águila score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Isidro Metapán score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Águila | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Isidro Metapán | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Águila sit 11th in Primera Division (3 points from 6 matches) and Isidro Metapán sit 1st (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isidro Metapán | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 13 |
| 11 | Águila | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Águila vs Isidro Metapán?
- The Footlab model makes Águila the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Isidro Metapán.
- Where and when is Águila vs Isidro Metapán played?
- Águila vs Isidro Metapán is played on October 11, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Francisco Barraza, in the Primera Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.