Mura vs Nafta: prediction and stats
1. SNLRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Mestni Štadion Fazanerija, Murska Sobota
The Footlab AI model makes Nafta the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Mura. The most likely score is 1-1. If Nafta wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,546 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mura vs Nafta?
Nafta starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (1,764 vs 1,611).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mura vs Nafta
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mura
3-4-3- 30K. Kurtovic
- 3Aleksandar Zeljković
- 71B. Dimitrov
- 10N. Kouter
- 7N. Kasalo
- 18A. Zalaznik
- 47Š. Butić
- 26B. Proleta
- 56M. Matić
- 21Ž. Petrovič
- 33Ž. Fermišek
Nafta
4-3-3- 17A. Maroša
- 7Josip Ivan Zorica
- 21Shyon Omrani
- 41Kimi Lavrencic
- 18A. Pihler
- 8M. Ogwuche
- 2R. Pirtovšek
- 33L. Poredoš
- 98Á. Drágoner
- 20Andre Ferreira
- 1Lucas Erjavsek
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 04:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mura have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Nafta have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Olimpija Ljubljana(away) | 3-3 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Celje(home) | 0-0 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Aluminij(home) | 1-6 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Maribor(away) | 1-1 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Bravo(away) | 0-2 | 1. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Bravo(home) | 1-0 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Koper(away) | 0-2 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Brinje-Grosuplje(away) | 2-1 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Radomlje(home) | 3-1 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Maribor(home) | 2-3 | 1. SNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Mura win, 2 draws, 3 Nafta wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nafta 5-2 Mura | 1. SNL |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Mura 1-2 Nafta | Cup |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Nafta 4-2 Mura | 1. SNL |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Mura 0-0 Nafta | 1. SNL |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Nafta 0-0 Mura | 1. SNL |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Mura 1-0 Nafta | 1. SNL |
How many goals should we expect?
Mura score 1.2 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Nafta score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mura | 1.2 | 2.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Nafta | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mura sit 9th in 1. SNL (10 points from 11 matches) and Nafta sit 5th (16 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nafta | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 16 |
| 9 | Mura | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 10 |
A question about Mura vs Nafta?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mura vs Nafta?
- The Footlab AI model makes Nafta the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Mura.
- Where and when is Mura vs Nafta played?
- Mura vs Nafta is played on April 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Mestni Štadion Fazanerija, in the 1. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.