Murang'a SEAL vs Migori Youth: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)SportPesa Arena, Murang'a
The Footlab model makes Migori Youth the favourite at 39%, against 32% for a draw and 29% for Murang'a SEAL. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Murang'a SEAL vs Migori Youth?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Murang'a SEAL (1,452) and Migori Youth (1,538).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Murang'a SEAL have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Migori Youth have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Mara Sugar(home) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | Bidco United(away) | 2-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | GOR Mahia(home) | 1-3 | FKF Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Homeboyz(home) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Police(away) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | 3K(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Equity Bank(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Kisumu All Stars(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| May 27, 2026 | MCF(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| May 23, 2026 | Kibera Black Stars(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Murang'a SEAL win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Migori Youth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2023 | Murang'a SEAL 1-0 Migori Youth | Super League |
| Jan 25, 2023 | Migori Youth 0-0 Murang'a SEAL | Super League |
| May 17, 2022 | Murang'a SEAL 2-0 Migori Youth | Super League |
| Jan 15, 2022 | Migori Youth 0-1 Murang'a SEAL | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Murang'a SEAL vs Migori Youth on May 24, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Murang'a SEAL score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Migori Youth score 1.6 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Murang'a SEAL | 1.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Migori Youth | 1.6 | 0.6 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Murang'a SEAL | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 41 | 47 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Murang'a SEAL vs Migori Youth?
- The Footlab model makes Migori Youth the favourite at 39%, against 32% for a draw and 29% for Murang'a SEAL.
- Where and when is Murang'a SEAL vs Migori Youth played?
- Murang'a SEAL vs Migori Youth is played on May 9, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at SportPesa Arena, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.