Murang'a SEAL vs Tusker: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)SportPesa Arena, Murang'a
The Footlab AI model makes Murang'a SEAL the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Tusker. The most likely score is 1-1. If Murang'a SEAL wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,566 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Murang'a SEAL vs Tusker?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Murang'a SEAL (1,470) and Tusker (1,550).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Murang'a SEAL vs Tusker
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Murang'a SEAL
Not enough data to predict the Murang'a SEAL lineup.
Tusker
Not enough data to predict the Tusker lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 10:34 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Murang'a SEAL have 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; Tusker have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | APS Bomet(away) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Nairobi United(home) | 3-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | 3K(away) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Posta Rangers FC(home) | 5-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | GOR Mahia(away) | 2-4 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Mara Sugar(home) | 3-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Mathare United(away) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(away) | 1-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(home) | 0-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ulinzi Stars(away) | 2-0 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Murang'a SEAL win, 0 draws, 5 Tusker wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | Tusker 1-0 Murang'a SEAL | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Murang'a SEAL 0-1 Tusker | FKF Premier League |
| May 10, 2025 | Tusker 2-0 Murang'a SEAL | FKF Premier League |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Murang'a SEAL 1-3 Tusker | FKF Premier League |
| May 12, 2024 | Tusker 2-1 Murang'a SEAL | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Murang'a SEAL 2-1 Tusker | FKF Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Tusker vs Murang'a SEAL on Feb 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Murang'a SEAL score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tusker score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Murang'a SEAL | 1.4 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Tusker | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Murang'a SEAL sit 6th in FKF Premier League (7 points from 5 matches) and Tusker sit 7th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Murang'a SEAL | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 7 |
| 7 | Tusker | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
A question about Murang'a SEAL vs Tusker?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Murang'a SEAL vs Tusker?
- The Footlab AI model makes Murang'a SEAL the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Tusker.
- Where and when is Murang'a SEAL vs Tusker played?
- Murang'a SEAL vs Tusker is played on February 27, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at SportPesa Arena, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.