Mara Sugar vs Ulinzi Stars: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueMatchday 24Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Green Stadium, Awendo
The Footlab AI model makes Mara Sugar the favourite at 41%, against 32% for a draw and 27% for Ulinzi Stars. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,708 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mara Sugar vs Ulinzi Stars?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Mara Sugar (1,500) and Ulinzi Stars (1,482).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mara Sugar vs Ulinzi Stars
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mara Sugar
Not enough data to predict the Mara Sugar lineup.
Ulinzi Stars
Not enough data to predict the Ulinzi Stars lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 02:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mara Sugar have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Ulinzi Stars have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Migori Youth(home) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Tusker(away) | 1-3 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | AFC Leopards(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Ulinzi Stars(away) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Mombasa Elite(home) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Murang'a SEAL(away) | 2-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Mathare United(home) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Kenya Police(away) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Mara Sugar(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Homeboyz(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Mara Sugar wins, 2 draws, 1 Ulinzi Stars win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Ulinzi Stars 0-0 Mara Sugar | FKF Premier League |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Mara Sugar 2-1 Ulinzi Stars | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Ulinzi Stars 1-2 Mara Sugar | FKF Premier League |
| May 4, 2025 | Mara Sugar 1-1 Ulinzi Stars | FKF Premier League |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Ulinzi Stars 1-0 Mara Sugar | FKF Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Ulinzi Stars vs Mara Sugar on Oct 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mara Sugar score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ulinzi Stars score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mara Sugar | 0.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Ulinzi Stars | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mara Sugar sit 6th in FKF Premier League (9 points from 6 matches) and Ulinzi Stars sit 14th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mara Sugar | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 9 |
| 14 | Ulinzi Stars | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
A question about Mara Sugar vs Ulinzi Stars?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mara Sugar vs Ulinzi Stars?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mara Sugar the favourite at 41%, against 32% for a draw and 27% for Ulinzi Stars.
- Where and when is Mara Sugar vs Ulinzi Stars played?
- Mara Sugar vs Ulinzi Stars is played on February 27, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Green Stadium, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.