KCB vs GOR Mahia: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Kenyatta Stadium, Machakos
The Footlab AI model makes GOR Mahia the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for KCB. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KCB vs GOR Mahia?
GOR Mahia starts as the favourite with a 191-point Elo edge (1,683 vs 1,492).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for KCB vs GOR Mahia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
KCB
Not enough data to predict the KCB lineup.
GOR Mahia
4-3-3- 40C. Ochieng Oduor
- 30S. Kapen
- 22B. Ochieng
- 6E. Morrison
- 10A. Otieno
- 26P. Otieno
- 2G. Ochieng
- 5Alphonce Omija
- 15S. Owino
- 19Shariff Sirengo
- 35K. Omondi Onyango
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 03:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KCB have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; GOR Mahia have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nairobi United(away) | 2-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Bandari(home) | 0-2 | Shield Cup |
| May 31, 2026 | Shabana(away) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 27, 2026 | Sofapaka(away) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Posta Rangers FC(home) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Murang'a SEAL(home) | 4-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Pyramids FC(away) | 1-5 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Pyramids FC(home) | 0-2 | CAF Champions League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Rayon Sports(away) | 1-2 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Al Hilal Omdurman(home) | 1-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 KCB wins, 3 draws, 3 GOR Mahia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | GOR Mahia 3-0 KCB | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 5, 2025 | KCB 0-1 GOR Mahia | FKF Premier League |
| Apr 7, 2025 | KCB 0-1 GOR Mahia | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 23, 2024 | GOR Mahia 0-0 KCB | FKF Premier League |
| May 16, 2024 | KCB 0-0 GOR Mahia | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 1, 2023 | GOR Mahia 1-1 KCB | FKF Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
KCB score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; GOR Mahia score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KCB | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| GOR Mahia | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KCB sit 4th in FKF Premier League (1 point from 1 match) and GOR Mahia sit 1st (3 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GOR Mahia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | KCB | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
A question about KCB vs GOR Mahia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KCB vs GOR Mahia?
- The Footlab AI model makes GOR Mahia the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for KCB.
- Where and when is KCB vs GOR Mahia played?
- KCB vs GOR Mahia is played on February 27, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Kenyatta Stadium, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.