Murata vs Cailungo: prediction and stats
CampionatoMatchday 9Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Fonte Dell'Ovo, Città di San Marino
The Footlab AI model makes Cailungo the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Murata. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cailungo wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,188 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Murata vs Cailungo?
On Elo ratings, Murata has 900 points and Cailungo 859.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Murata vs Cailungo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Murata
Not enough data to predict the Murata lineup.
Cailungo
Not enough data to predict the Cailungo lineup.
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 07:23 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Murata have 1 win, 1 draw and 13 defeats; Cailungo have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Tre Penne(away) | 0-3 | Campionato |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Tre Fiori(away) | 0-1 | Campionato |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Virtus(away) | 0-3 | Coppa Titano |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Domagnano(home) | 2-2 | Campionato |
| Oct 9, 2026 | La Fiorita(away) | 0-3 | Campionato |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Tre Fiori(home) | 2-2 | Campionato |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Juvenes / Dogana(home) | 1-1 | Campionato |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Pennarossa(home) | 1-4 | Coppa Titano |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Fiorentino(away) | 1-1 | Campionato |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Libertas(home) | 1-2 | Campionato |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Murata wins, 1 draw, 2 Cailungo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | Murata 0-2 Cailungo | Campionato |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Cailungo 1-1 Murata | Campionato |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Cailungo 1-0 Murata | Campionato |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Murata 2-1 Cailungo | Campionato |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Cailungo 1-3 Murata | Campionato |
| Oct 20, 2023 | Murata 3-0 Cailungo | Campionato |
How many goals should we expect?
Murata score 0.7 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 15; Cailungo score 1.0 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Murata | 0.7 | 2.9 | 0 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
| Cailungo | 1.0 | 2.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Murata sit 14th in Campionato (4 points from 7 matches) and Cailungo sit 12th (5 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Cailungo | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 5 |
| 14 | Murata | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 4 |
A question about Murata vs Cailungo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Murata vs Cailungo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cailungo the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Murata.
- Where and when is Murata vs Cailungo played?
- Murata vs Cailungo is played on November 22, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Fonte Dell'Ovo, in the Campionato.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.