Pennarossa vs Tre Penne: prediction and stats
CampionatoMatchday 9Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo di Chiesanuova, Chiesanuova
The Footlab AI model makes Tre Penne the favourite at 84%, against 11% for a draw and 5% for Pennarossa. The most likely score is 0-3.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,188 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pennarossa vs Tre Penne?
Tre Penne is a heavy favourite: 1,398 Elo points against 950, a 448-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pennarossa vs Tre Penne
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pennarossa
Not enough data to predict the Pennarossa lineup.
Tre Penne
Not enough data to predict the Tre Penne lineup.
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 07:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pennarossa have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Tre Penne have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Juvenes / Dogana(away) | 0-1 | Campionato |
| Oct 31, 2026 | San Marino Academy(home) | 1-1 | Campionato |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Cailungo(away) | 4-1 | Coppa Titano |
| Oct 23, 2026 | San Giovanni(home) | 2-2 | Campionato |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Folgore(home) | 1-5 | Campionato |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Murata(home) | 3-0 | Campionato |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Folgore(away) | 1-1 | Campionato |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Juvenes / Dogana(away) | 3-1 | Coppa Titano |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Tre Fiori(home) | 0-0 | Campionato |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Domagnano(away) | 2-0 | Campionato |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Pennarossa wins, 2 draws, 4 Tre Penne wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Pennarossa 1-2 Tre Penne | Campionato |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Tre Penne 2-0 Pennarossa | Campionato |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Pennarossa 0-0 Tre Penne | Campionato |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Tre Penne 0-0 Pennarossa | Campionato |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Pennarossa 0-5 Tre Penne | Campionato |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Tre Penne 3-2 Pennarossa | Campionato |
Last archived meeting: Pennarossa vs Tre Penne on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pennarossa score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tre Penne score 1.6 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pennarossa | 1.5 | 2.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Tre Penne | 1.6 | 0.5 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pennarossa sit 13th in Campionato (5 points from 8 matches) and Tre Penne sit 3rd (17 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tre Penne | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 17 |
| 13 | Pennarossa | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 25 | 5 |
A question about Pennarossa vs Tre Penne?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pennarossa vs Tre Penne?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tre Penne the favourite at 84%, against 11% for a draw and 5% for Pennarossa.
- Where and when is Pennarossa vs Tre Penne played?
- Pennarossa vs Tre Penne is played on November 22, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo di Chiesanuova, in the Campionato.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.