Musselburgh Athletic vs Cowdenbeath: prediction and stats
Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Olivebank Arena, Musselburgh
The Footlab AI model makes Musselburgh Athletic the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Cowdenbeath. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,974 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Musselburgh Athletic vs Cowdenbeath?
Musselburgh Athletic starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,521 vs 1,421).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Musselburgh Athletic vs Cowdenbeath
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Musselburgh Athletic
Not enough data to predict the Musselburgh Athletic lineup.
Cowdenbeath
Not enough data to predict the Cowdenbeath lineup.
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 08:48 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Musselburgh Athletic have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Cowdenbeath have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Broxburn Athletic(away) | 0-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Lossiemouth(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Tranent Juniors(home) | 1-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Berwick Rangers(away) | 0-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Hill Of Beath Hawthorn(away) | 0-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Celtic II(home) | 2-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Berwick Rangers(home) | 4-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Clyde(home) | 1-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Hamilton Academical(away) | 0-1 | Challenge Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Musselburgh Athletic score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cowdenbeath score 1.7 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Musselburgh Athletic | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Cowdenbeath | 1.7 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Musselburgh Athletic sit 24th in Football League - Lowland League (10 points from 11 matches) and Cowdenbeath sit 23rd (10 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Cowdenbeath | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 10 |
| 24 | Musselburgh Athletic | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 10 |
A question about Musselburgh Athletic vs Cowdenbeath?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Musselburgh Athletic vs Cowdenbeath?
- The Footlab AI model makes Musselburgh Athletic the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Cowdenbeath.
- Where and when is Musselburgh Athletic vs Cowdenbeath played?
- Musselburgh Athletic vs Cowdenbeath is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Olivebank Arena, in the Football League - Lowland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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