Txantrea vs Huarte: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 15Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Instalaciones Deportivas Chantrea, Pamplona
The Footlab model makes Txantrea the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Huarte. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Txantrea vs Huarte?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Txantrea (1,727) and Huarte (1,783).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Txantrea have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Huarte have 7, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Cortes(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 3, 2026 | Oberena(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Izarra(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Bidezarra(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Aoiz(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Pamplona(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 3, 2026 | Cirbonero(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Atlético Artajonés(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Subiza(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | San Juan(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Txantrea win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Huarte win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Huarte 3-1 Txantrea | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Txantrea 2-1 Huarte | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Txantrea 1-0 Huarte | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Huarte 1-2 Txantrea | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 1, 2024 | Txantrea 0-1 Huarte | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Jan 7, 2024 | Huarte 1-1 Txantrea | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
How many goals should we expect?
Txantrea score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Huarte score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Txantrea | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Huarte | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Txantrea sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (43 points from 34 matches) and Huarte sit 6th (47 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Huarte | 34 | 15 | 2 | 17 | 49 | 47 | 47 |
| 11 | Txantrea | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 52 | 67 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Txantrea vs Huarte?
- The Footlab model makes Txantrea the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Huarte.
- Where and when is Txantrea vs Huarte played?
- Txantrea vs Huarte is played on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Instalaciones Deportivas Chantrea, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.