Mutilvera vs Huarte: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 18Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Valle de Aranguren, Mutilva Baja
The Footlab model makes Mutilvera the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Huarte. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mutilvera vs Huarte?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Mutilvera (1,746) and Huarte (1,784).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mutilvera have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Huarte have 7, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Peña Sport(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Amorebieta(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | UD Logroñés(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Utebo(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Basconia(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Pamplona(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 3, 2026 | Cirbonero(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Atlético Artajonés(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Subiza(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | San Juan(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Mutilvera win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Huarte win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2025 | Mutilvera 4-1 Huarte | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Huarte 1-1 Mutilvera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Aug 8, 2023 | Mutilvera 4-0 Huarte | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 21, 2019 | Mutilvera 2-0 Huarte | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
How many goals should we expect?
Mutilvera score 0.8 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Huarte score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mutilvera | 0.8 | 2.3 | 1 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Huarte | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Huarte | 34 | 15 | 2 | 17 | 49 | 47 | 47 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mutilvera vs Huarte?
- The Footlab model makes Mutilvera the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Huarte.
- Where and when is Mutilvera vs Huarte played?
- Mutilvera vs Huarte is played on January 16, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Valle de Aranguren, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.