Subiza vs Avance Ezcabarte: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Sotoburu, Subiza
The Footlab AI model makes Subiza the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Avance Ezcabarte. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,572 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Subiza vs Avance Ezcabarte?
On Elo ratings, Subiza has 1,832 points and Avance Ezcabarte 1,755.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Subiza vs Avance Ezcabarte
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Subiza
Not enough data to predict the Subiza lineup.
Avance Ezcabarte
Not enough data to predict the Avance Ezcabarte lineup.
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 04:16 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Subiza have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Avance Ezcabarte have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Cortes(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Beti Kozkor(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Bidezarra(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | San Juan(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cirbonero(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Huarte(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Doneztebe FT(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Aoiz(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cantolagua(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Mutilvera(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Subiza win, 2 draws, 3 Avance Ezcabarte wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Avance Ezcabarte 1-1 Subiza | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Subiza 0-1 Avance Ezcabarte | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Avance Ezcabarte 1-0 Subiza | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 3, 2024 | Avance Ezcabarte 1-1 Subiza | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 12, 2023 | Subiza 3-1 Avance Ezcabarte | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Subiza 1-2 Avance Ezcabarte | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
Last archived meeting: Avance Ezcabarte vs Subiza on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Subiza score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Avance Ezcabarte score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Subiza | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Avance Ezcabarte | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Subiza sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (13 points from 8 matches) and Avance Ezcabarte sit 8th (11 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Subiza | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 13 |
| 8 | Avance Ezcabarte | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 11 |
A question about Subiza vs Avance Ezcabarte?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Subiza vs Avance Ezcabarte?
- The Footlab AI model makes Subiza the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Avance Ezcabarte.
- Where and when is Subiza vs Avance Ezcabarte played?
- Subiza vs Avance Ezcabarte is played on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Sotoburu, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.