Mutondo Stars vs Mufulira Wanderers: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on November 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Arthur Davies Stadium, Kitwe
The Footlab model makes Mutondo Stars the favourite at 42%, against 37% for a draw and 22% for Mufulira Wanderers. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mutondo Stars vs Mufulira Wanderers?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Mutondo Stars (1,493) and Mufulira Wanderers (1,523).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mutondo Stars have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Mufulira Wanderers have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | NAPSA Stars(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 17, 2026 | Mines(home) | 3-1 | Super League |
| May 13, 2026 | Power Dynamos(away) | 2-2 | Super League |
| May 2, 2026 | Red Arrows(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Mufulira Wanderers(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Power Dynamos(away) | 0-2 | Super League |
| May 17, 2026 | Red Arrows(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| May 13, 2026 | Green Buffaloes(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 3, 2026 | Green Eagles(away) | 0-2 | Super League |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Mutondo Stars(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Mutondo Stars win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Mufulira Wanderers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | Mufulira Wanderers 1-0 Mutondo Stars | Super League |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Mutondo Stars 0-0 Mufulira Wanderers | Super League |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Mutondo Stars 0-1 Mufulira Wanderers | Super League |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Mufulira Wanderers 0-2 Mutondo Stars | Super League |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Mufulira Wanderers 0-0 Mutondo Stars | Super League |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Mutondo Stars 2-1 Mufulira Wanderers | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Mufulira Wanderers vs Mutondo Stars on Apr 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mutondo Stars score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Mufulira Wanderers score 0.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 21% probability of over 2.5 goals and 29% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mutondo Stars | 0.9 | 0.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 2/15 |
| Mufulira Wanderers | 0.6 | 1.0 | 5 | 3/15 | 1/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mutondo Stars sit 16th in Super League (35 points from 34 matches) and Mufulira Wanderers sit 8th (49 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mufulira Wanderers | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 25 | 49 |
| 16 | Mutondo Stars | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 23 | 34 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mutondo Stars vs Mufulira Wanderers?
- The Footlab model makes Mutondo Stars the favourite at 42%, against 37% for a draw and 22% for Mufulira Wanderers.
- Where and when is Mutondo Stars vs Mufulira Wanderers played?
- Mutondo Stars vs Mufulira Wanderers is played on November 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Arthur Davies Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 21% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.