Mutondo Stars vs Green Eagles: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on November 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Arthur Davies Stadium, Kitwe
The Footlab model calls this one tight: 35% for Mutondo Stars, 35% for a draw, 30% for Green Eagles. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mutondo Stars vs Green Eagles?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Mutondo Stars (1,494) and Green Eagles (1,554).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mutondo Stars have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Green Eagles have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | NAPSA Stars(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 17, 2026 | Mines(home) | 3-1 | Super League |
| May 13, 2026 | Power Dynamos(away) | 2-2 | Super League |
| May 2, 2026 | Red Arrows(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Mufulira Wanderers(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Mines(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 17, 2026 | Power Dynamos(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 14, 2026 | Red Arrows(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| May 7, 2026 | ZESCO United(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| May 3, 2026 | Mufulira Wanderers(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Mutondo Stars win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Green Eagles win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026 | Mutondo Stars 0-1 Green Eagles | Super League |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Green Eagles 1-1 Mutondo Stars | Super League |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Mutondo Stars 2-1 Green Eagles | Super League |
| Aug 28, 2024 | Green Eagles 1-1 Mutondo Stars | Super League |
| Dec 30, 2023 | Mutondo Stars 1-2 Green Eagles | Super League |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Green Eagles 0-0 Mutondo Stars | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Mutondo Stars vs Green Eagles on Apr 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mutondo Stars score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Green Eagles score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 25% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mutondo Stars | 0.9 | 0.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 2/15 |
| Green Eagles | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mutondo Stars sit 16th in Super League (35 points from 34 matches) and Green Eagles sit 6th (50 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Green Eagles | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 29 | 25 | 50 |
| 16 | Mutondo Stars | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 23 | 34 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mutondo Stars vs Green Eagles?
- The Footlab model calls this one tight: 35% for Mutondo Stars, 35% for a draw, 30% for Green Eagles.
- Where and when is Mutondo Stars vs Green Eagles played?
- Mutondo Stars vs Green Eagles is played on November 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Arthur Davies Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 25% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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