Red Arrows vs Nkwazi: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on November 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Nkoloma Stadium, Lusaka
The Footlab model makes Red Arrows the favourite at 63%, against 27% for a draw and 10% for Nkwazi. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Red Arrows vs Nkwazi?
Red Arrows starts as the favourite with a 140-point Elo edge (1,672 vs 1,532).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Red Arrows have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Nkwazi have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Green Buffaloes(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| May 17, 2026 | Mufulira Wanderers(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| May 14, 2026 | Green Eagles(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| May 6, 2026 | Zanaco(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| May 2, 2026 | Mutondo Stars(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Prison Leopards(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 20, 2026 | Man Utd Zambia Academy(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| May 17, 2026 | Kansanshi Dynamos(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| May 3, 2026 | ZESCO United(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Nchanga Rangers(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Red Arrows win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Nkwazi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | Red Arrows 0-0 Nkwazi | Super League |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Nkwazi 0-0 Red Arrows | Super League |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Nkwazi 0-0 Red Arrows | Super League |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Red Arrows 1-0 Nkwazi | Super League |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Nkwazi 0-1 Red Arrows | Super League |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Red Arrows 4-0 Nkwazi | Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
Red Arrows score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Nkwazi score 0.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 28% probability of over 2.5 goals and 26% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Arrows | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Nkwazi | 0.6 | 0.9 | 5 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Red Arrows sit 2nd in Super League (63 points from 34 matches) and Nkwazi sit 14th (37 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Red Arrows | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 44 | 22 | 63 |
| 14 | Nkwazi | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 21 | 28 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Red Arrows vs Nkwazi?
- The Footlab model makes Red Arrows the favourite at 63%, against 27% for a draw and 10% for Nkwazi.
- Where and when is Red Arrows vs Nkwazi played?
- Red Arrows vs Nkwazi is played on November 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Nkoloma Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 28% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 4, 2026Kabwe WarriorsvsRoan United
- Nov 4, 2026NAPSA StarsvsPower Dynamos
- Nov 4, 2026NkanavsKansanshi Dynamos
- Nov 4, 2026ZanacovsMan Utd Zambia Academy
- Nov 4, 2026Konkola BladesvsTrident
- Nov 5, 2026Green BuffaloesvsZESCO United
- Nov 5, 2026Nchanga RangersvsMakeni All Stars
- Nov 5, 2026Mutondo StarsvsMufulira Wanderers