MVV vs Excelsior: result 1-2 and analysis
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 33Kick-off on April 4, 2025 at 06:00 PM (UTC)De Geusselt, Maastricht
Full time
What was the result of MVV vs Excelsior?
Excelsior won 1-2 on April 4, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 35′S. BrakenMVV
- 86′L. DuijvestijnExcelsior
- 90′M. van DuinenExcelsior
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MVV have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Excelsior have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2025 | Emmen(home) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 22, 2025 | De Graafschap(away) | 0-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Jong AZ(home) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 7, 2025 | Helmond Sport(away) | 0-4 | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Vitesse(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2025 | Jong Utrecht(home) | 3-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 14, 2025 | FC Eindhoven(away) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 10, 2025 | Den Bosch(home) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 7, 2025 | De Graafschap(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Roda(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 MVV win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Excelsior win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2024 | Excelsior 3-2 MVV | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 19, 2022 | Excelsior 5-1 MVV | KNVB Beker |
| Apr 15, 2022 | MVV 1-1 Excelsior | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 10, 2021 | Excelsior 2-1 MVV | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 20, 2021 | MVV 1-0 Excelsior | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 19, 2021 | MVV 2-2 Excelsior | KNVB Beker |
How many goals should we expect?
MVV score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Excelsior score 1.8 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MVV | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Excelsior | 1.8 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | MVV | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | MVV | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy