MVV vs Excelsior: result 2-2 and analysis
KNVB BekerRound of 16Kick-off on January 19, 2021 at 03:30 PM (UTC)De Geusselt, Maastricht
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What was the result of MVV vs Excelsior?
MVV and Excelsior drew 2-2 on January 19, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 16′E. ÓmarssonExcelsior (pen.)
- 42′K. KostonsMVV
- 45′J. SchroijenMVV
- 71′S. HoremansExcelsior
- 120′Luigi Maud BruinsExcelsior (pen.)
- 120′J. SchroijenMVV (pen.)
- 120′E. ÓmarssonExcelsior (pen.)
- 120′A. NaudtsMVV (pen.)
- 120′Thomas VerhaarExcelsior (pen.)
- 120′J. DéomMVV (pen.)
- 120′S. MeijerExcelsior (pen.)
- 120′G. SalasiwaMVV (pen.)
- 120′S. FischerExcelsior (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MVV have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Excelsior have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2021 | GO Ahead Eagles(away) | 0-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 8, 2021 | Jong Utrecht(home) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 3, 2021 | FC Volendam(away) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 18, 2020 | Dordrecht(home) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 12, 2020 | FC Eindhoven(away) | 0-4 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2021 | FC Eindhoven(home) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 8, 2021 | NEC Nijmegen(away) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 3, 2021 | NAC Breda(home) | 0-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 20, 2020 | Cambuur(home) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 15, 2020 | PEC Zwolle(home) | 2-0 | KNVB Beker |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 MVV win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Excelsior win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2020 | Excelsior 2-0 MVV | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 6, 2020 | Excelsior 3-0 MVV | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 18, 2019 | MVV 0-0 Excelsior | Eerste Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
MVV score 1.1 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Excelsior score 1.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MVV | 1.1 | 2.5 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Excelsior | 1.7 | 1.3 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy