Nação vs Blumenau: prediction and stats
Copa Santa CatarinaGroup Stage - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Arena Joinville, Joinville, Santa Catarina
The Footlab AI model makes Blumenau the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Nação. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nação vs Blumenau?
Blumenau starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,531 vs 1,411).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nação vs Blumenau
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nação
4-3-3- VVinícius Felício
- PP. Heumo
- RRobson
- RRenê
- JJair
- BBrendon
- 6Paulo Fales
- WWillian Bahia
- SScottini
- LLuiz Gustavo
- OOmar
Blumenau
Not enough data to predict the Blumenau lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:48 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nação have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Blumenau have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Marcílio Dias(home) | 0-0 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Hercílio Luz(away) | 1-2 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Barra(away) | 3-3 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Joinville(home) | 0-4 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Figueirense(away) | 0-1 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Marcílio Dias(home) | 1-1 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Metropolitano(home) | 0-1 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Barra(away) | 2-2 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Joinville(away) | 0-1 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Santa Catarina(home) | 0-1 | Copa Santa Catarina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Nação wins, 1 draw, 3 Blumenau wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | Blumenau 0-2 Nação | Catarinense - 2 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Nação 0-6 Blumenau | Catarinense - 2 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Blumenau 5-1 Nação | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Nação 0-2 Blumenau | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Jul 12, 2025 | Blumenau 2-2 Nação | Catarinense - 2 |
| Jun 12, 2022 | Nação 3-0 Blumenau | Catarinense - 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Nação score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Blumenau score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nação | 1.0 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Blumenau | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0 | 10/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Nação vs Blumenau?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nação vs Blumenau?
- The Footlab AI model makes Blumenau the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Nação.
- Where and when is Nação vs Blumenau played?
- Nação vs Blumenau is played on October 18, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Joinville, in the Copa Santa Catarina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.