Nação vs Hercílio Luz: result 1-2 and analysis
Catarinense - 2Regular Season - 18Kick-off on July 25, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Arena Joinville, Joinville, Santa Catarina
Full time
What was the result of Nação vs Hercílio Luz?
Hercílio Luz won 1-2 on July 25, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 29′?Nação
- 60′?Hercílio Luz
- 71′?Hercílio Luz
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nação have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Hercílio Luz have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | Blumenau(away) | 2-0 | Catarinense - 2 |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Caravaggio(home) | 2-2 | Catarinense - 2 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Jaraguá(away) | 2-0 | Catarinense - 2 |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Fluminense-SC(home) | 1-2 | Catarinense - 2 |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Tubarao(away) | 0-1 | Catarinense - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | Caravaggio(home) | 0-0 | Catarinense - 2 |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Tubarao(away) | 2-0 | Catarinense - 2 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Juventus SC(home) | 1-0 | Catarinense - 2 |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Blumenau(away) | 2-0 | Catarinense - 2 |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Guarani de Palhoça(away) | 2-1 | Catarinense - 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Nação win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Hercílio Luz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Hercílio Luz 2-1 Nação | Catarinense - 2 |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Hercílio Luz 1-0 Nação | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Feb 15, 2024 | Hercílio Luz 2-2 Nação | Catarinense - 1 |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Nação 0-1 Hercílio Luz | Copa Santa Catarina |
How many goals should we expect?
Nação score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hercílio Luz score 1.9 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nação | 1.1 | 1.5 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Hercílio Luz | 1.9 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nação sit 8th in Catarinense - 2 (9 points from 9 matches) and Hercílio Luz sit 4th (17 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Hercílio Luz | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 6 | 17 |
| 8 | Nação | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy