Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno: prediction and stats
Division Profesional - ClausuraClausura - 6Kick-off on August 24, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Arsenio Erico, Asunción
The Footlab model makes Nacional Asuncion the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Sportivo Luqueno. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno?
Nacional Asuncion starts as the favourite with a 188-point Elo edge (1,828 vs 1,640).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nacional Asuncion have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Sportivo Luqueno have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Benjamín Aceval(away) | 2-0 | Copa Paraguay |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sportivo Trinidense(away) | 1-1 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Club Guarani(home) | 0-0 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Deportivo Recoleta(away) | 2-3 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Olimpia(home) | 2-0 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Paraguari AC(away) | 2-0 | Copa Paraguay |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Libertad Asuncion(home) | 1-2 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Club Sp. San Lorenzo(away) | 2-0 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cerro Porteno(away) | 0-3 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Sportivo Trinidense(home) | 1-4 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Nacional Asuncion win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Sportivo Luqueno win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2026 | Nacional Asuncion 3-2 Sportivo Luqueno | Division Profesional - Apertura |
| Jan 27, 2026 | Sportivo Luqueno 1-2 Nacional Asuncion | Division Profesional - Apertura |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Nacional Asuncion 1-1 Sportivo Luqueno | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Jul 29, 2025 | Sportivo Luqueno 2-1 Nacional Asuncion | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| May 17, 2025 | Nacional Asuncion 4-0 Sportivo Luqueno | Division Profesional - Apertura |
| Mar 10, 2025 | Sportivo Luqueno 2-1 Nacional Asuncion | Division Profesional - Apertura |
Last archived meeting: Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno on Mar 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nacional Asuncion score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sportivo Luqueno score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional Asuncion | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Sportivo Luqueno | 1.3 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nacional Asuncion sit 8th in Division Profesional - Clausura (6 points from 5 matches) and Sportivo Luqueno sit 10th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nacional Asuncion | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | Sportivo Luqueno | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno?
- The Footlab model makes Nacional Asuncion the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Sportivo Luqueno.
- Where and when is Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno played?
- Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno is played on August 24, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Arsenio Erico, in the Division Profesional - Clausura.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.