Olimpia vs Cerro Porteno: prediction and stats
Division Profesional - ClausuraClausura - 6Kick-off on August 23, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio UENO Osvaldo Domínguez Dibb, Asunción
The Footlab model makes Olimpia the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Cerro Porteno. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olimpia vs Cerro Porteno?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Olimpia (1,820) and Cerro Porteno (1,855).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olimpia have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Cerro Porteno have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 1-4 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sportivo Ameliano(home) | 2-1 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | 2 de Mayo(away) | 0-1 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Rubio NU(home) | 5-0 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Palmeiras(home) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Club Sp. San Lorenzo(home) | 1-0 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Palmeiras(away) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sportivo Ameliano(away) | 0-1 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sportivo Luqueno(home) | 3-0 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Olimpia win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Cerro Porteno win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Cerro Porteno 0-1 Olimpia | Division Profesional - Apertura |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Cerro Porteno 1-1 Olimpia | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Olimpia 2-3 Cerro Porteno | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| May 3, 2025 | Cerro Porteno 1-2 Olimpia | Division Profesional - Apertura |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Olimpia 2-1 Cerro Porteno | Division Profesional - Apertura |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Olimpia 3-0 Cerro Porteno | Division Profesional - Clausura |
Last archived meeting: Cerro Porteno vs Olimpia on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Olimpia score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Cerro Porteno score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olimpia | 1.6 | 1.4 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Cerro Porteno | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Olimpia sit 9th in Division Profesional - Clausura (6 points from 5 matches) and Cerro Porteno sit 8th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cerro Porteno | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 9 | Olimpia | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olimpia vs Cerro Porteno?
- The Footlab model makes Olimpia the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Cerro Porteno.
- Where and when is Olimpia vs Cerro Porteno played?
- Olimpia vs Cerro Porteno is played on August 23, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio UENO Osvaldo Domínguez Dibb, in the Division Profesional - Clausura.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.