Nacional Potosí vs Real Oruro: prediction and stats
Copa de la División ProfesionalGroup Stage - 7Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 09:15 PM (UTC)Estadio Víctor Agustín Ugarte, Potosí
The Footlab model makes Nacional Potosí the favourite at 68%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Real Oruro. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nacional Potosí vs Real Oruro?
Nacional Potosí starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,605 vs 1,492).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nacional Potosí have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Real Oruro have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Independiente Petrolero(home) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | ABB(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 5, 2026 | The Strongest(home) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Oriente Petrolero(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bolívar(home) | 2-4 | Primera División |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Always Ready(away) | 2-4 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Oriente Petrolero(home) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Real Tomayapo(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 4, 2026 | ABB(away) | 1-4 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Nacional Potosí win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Real Oruro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 2026 | Nacional Potosí 1-4 Real Oruro | Primera División |
| Dec 11, 2025 | Real Oruro 1-2 Nacional Potosí | Primera División |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Nacional Potosí 0-0 Real Oruro | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Real Oruro 1-0 Nacional Potosí | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Jul 14, 2025 | Nacional Potosí 2-3 Real Oruro | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Nacional Potosí vs Real Oruro on Jul 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nacional Potosí score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Real Oruro score 1.8 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional Potosí | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Real Oruro | 1.8 | 2.6 | 0 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nacional Potosí vs Real Oruro?
- The Footlab model makes Nacional Potosí the favourite at 68%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Real Oruro.
- Where and when is Nacional Potosí vs Real Oruro played?
- Nacional Potosí vs Real Oruro is played on October 3, 2026 at 09:15 PM (UTC) at Estadio Víctor Agustín Ugarte, in the Copa de la División Profesional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.