Real Oruro vs Nacional Potosí: prediction and stats
Copa de la División ProfesionalGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on September 9, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Nacional Potosí the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Real Oruro. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Oruro vs Nacional Potosí?
Nacional Potosí starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,604 vs 1,492).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Oruro have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Nacional Potosí have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bolívar(home) | 2-4 | Primera División |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Always Ready(away) | 2-4 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Oriente Petrolero(home) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Real Tomayapo(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 4, 2026 | ABB(away) | 1-4 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Independiente Petrolero(home) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | ABB(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 5, 2026 | The Strongest(home) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Oriente Petrolero(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Real Oruro win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Nacional Potosí win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 2026 | Nacional Potosí 1-4 Real Oruro | Primera División |
| Dec 11, 2025 | Real Oruro 1-2 Nacional Potosí | Primera División |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Nacional Potosí 0-0 Real Oruro | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Real Oruro 1-0 Nacional Potosí | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Jul 14, 2025 | Nacional Potosí 2-3 Real Oruro | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Nacional Potosí vs Real Oruro on Jul 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Oruro score 1.8 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Nacional Potosí score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Oruro | 1.8 | 2.6 | 0 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
| Nacional Potosí | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Oruro vs Nacional Potosí?
- The Footlab model makes Nacional Potosí the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Real Oruro.
- Where and when is Real Oruro vs Nacional Potosí played?
- Real Oruro vs Nacional Potosí is played on September 9, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC), in the Copa de la División Profesional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.