Real Potosí vs Aurora: prediction and stats
Copa de la División ProfesionalGroup Stage - 7Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Víctor Agustín Ugarte de Potosí, Potosí
The Footlab model makes Real Potosí the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Aurora. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Potosí vs Aurora?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Real Potosí (1,585) and Aurora (1,545).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Potosí have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Aurora have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Aurora(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 19, 2026 | ABB(away) | 3-2 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Always Ready(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Blooming(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Universitario de Vinto(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Real Potosí(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 18, 2026 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo(away) | 1-0 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Blooming(away) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bolívar(home) | 2-4 | Primera División |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Independiente Petrolero(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Real Potosí win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Aurora win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Aurora 0-0 Real Potosí | Primera División |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Real Potosí 0-0 Aurora | Primera División |
| Aug 23, 2021 | Aurora 5-0 Real Potosí | Primera División |
| Mar 16, 2021 | Real Potosí 1-1 Aurora | Primera División |
| Dec 1, 2020 | Real Potosí 2-1 Aurora | Primera División |
| Jan 22, 2020 | Aurora 4-0 Real Potosí | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Aurora vs Real Potosí on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Potosí score 1.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Aurora score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Potosí | 1.6 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Aurora | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Potosí vs Aurora?
- The Footlab model makes Real Potosí the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Aurora.
- Where and when is Real Potosí vs Aurora played?
- Real Potosí vs Aurora is played on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Víctor Agustín Ugarte de Potosí, in the Copa de la División Profesional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.