Nacional vs Arouca: result 0-1 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 15, 2013 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio da Madeira, Ilha da Madeira
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What was the result of Nacional vs Arouca?
Arouca won 0-1 on September 15, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 86′PintassilgoArouca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nacional have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Arouca have 1, 0 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2013 | Belenenses(away) | 3-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 25, 2013 | Guimaraes(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 17, 2013 | Estoril(away) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| May 19, 2013 | Academica(home) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| May 11, 2013 | SC Braga(away) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2013 | Rio Ave(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 25, 2013 | Estoril(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 18, 2013 | Sporting CP(away) | 1-5 | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Nacional score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Arouca score 1.0 and concede 2.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0 | 14/15 | 12/15 |
| Arouca | 1.0 | 2.3 | 1 | 2/3 | 2/3 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nacional sit 7th in Primeira Liga (4 points from 3 matches) and Arouca sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arouca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Nacional | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy