Nacional vs Arouca: result 1-1 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 28, 2017 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio da Madeira, Ilha da Madeira
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What was the result of Nacional vs Arouca?
Nacional and Arouca drew 1-1 on January 28, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 83′Nuno Miguel Prata CoelhoArouca
- 90′Salvador AgraNacional (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nacional have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Arouca have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2017 | Chaves(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 14, 2017 | Vitoria Setubal(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 7, 2017 | SC Braga(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 22, 2016 | Boavista(home) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 18, 2016 | Rio Ave(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2017 | Boavista(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 13, 2017 | Estoril(home) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 8, 2017 | Tondela(away) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 23, 2016 | Guimaraes(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 17, 2016 | Moreirense(away) | 4-1 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Nacional win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Arouca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2016 | Arouca 2-0 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| May 1, 2016 | Arouca 3-0 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 2, 2016 | Nacional 2-2 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 8, 2015 | Arouca 3-3 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 31, 2014 | Nacional 2-0 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 16, 2014 | Arouca 1-1 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Nacional score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Arouca score 1.0 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Arouca | 1.0 | 1.2 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nacional sit 7th in Primeira Liga (4 points from 3 matches) and Arouca sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arouca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Nacional | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy