Nacional vs Estoril: result 1-0 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 25, 2012 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio da Madeira, Ilha da Madeira
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What was the result of Nacional vs Estoril?
Nacional won 1-0 on November 25, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 57′MateusNacional
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nacional have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Estoril have 3, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2012 | Guimaraes(away) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 4, 2012 | Beira-Mar(home) | 2-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 28, 2012 | Rio Ave(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 7, 2012 | GIL Vicente(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 30, 2012 | Olhanense(away) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2012 | Moreirense(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 4, 2012 | Academica(away) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 28, 2012 | FC Porto(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 7, 2012 | Rio Ave(home) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 29, 2012 | Sporting CP(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Nacional score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Estoril score 1.7 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional | 2.1 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Estoril | 1.7 | 1.4 | 2 | 7/9 | 6/9 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nacional sit 7th in Primeira Liga (4 points from 3 matches) and Estoril sit 15th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nacional | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 15 | Estoril | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy