Nacional vs Penafiel: result 2-1 and analysis
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 21, 2019 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio da Madeira, Ilha da Madeira
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What was the result of Nacional vs Penafiel?
Nacional won 2-1 on September 21, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 31′Júlio CésarPenafiel (o.g.)
- 45′M. BorgninoNacional
- 53′B. RóchezNacional
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nacional have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Penafiel have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2019 | Academica(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 31, 2019 | Vilafranquense(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 25, 2019 | Mafra(home) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 18, 2019 | Leixoes(away) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 10, 2019 | Chaves(home) | 3-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2019 | Mafra(home) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 1, 2019 | Chaves(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 24, 2019 | Cova De Piedade(home) | 3-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 17, 2019 | Casa Pia(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 11, 2019 | Academico Viseu(home) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Nacional win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Penafiel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2018 | Penafiel 0-3 Nacional | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 6, 2017 | Nacional 1-1 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 26, 2015 | Nacional 2-0 Penafiel | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 13, 2014 | Penafiel 2-1 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Nacional score 1.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Penafiel score 1.7 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional | 1.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Penafiel | 1.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Penafiel | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy