Nacional vs Tondela: result 3-2 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 11, 2016 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio da Madeira, Ilha da Madeira
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What was the result of Nacional vs Tondela?
Nacional won 3-2 on December 11, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 23′WagnerTondela
- 30′Miguel CardosoTondela
- 62′KakáNacional (o.g.)
- 65′César MartinsNacional
- 89′N. BonillaNacional
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nacional have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Tondela have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2016 | Moreirense(away) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 26, 2016 | Estoril(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 20, 2016 | Torreense(away) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Nov 4, 2016 | Guimaraes(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 28, 2016 | Sporting CP(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2016 | Rio Ave(away) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 27, 2016 | Guimaraes(home) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 20, 2016 | Aljustrelense(away) | 2-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Nov 5, 2016 | Estoril(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 29, 2016 | Moreirense(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Nacional win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Tondela win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2016 | Nacional 3-1 Tondela | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 30, 2015 | Tondela 1-0 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Nacional score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Tondela score 1.1 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Tondela | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nacional | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy