Nacional vs Varzim: result 1-1 and analysis
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 30, 2019 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio da Madeira, Ilha da Madeira
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What was the result of Nacional vs Varzim?
Nacional and Varzim drew 1-1 on October 30, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 13′B. RiascosNacional
- 37′L. LumekaVarzim
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nacional have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Varzim have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2019 | Benfica B(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 5, 2019 | FC Porto B(home) | 4-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 29, 2019 | Espinho(away) | 0-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 21, 2019 | Penafiel(home) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 15, 2019 | Academica(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2019 | Chaves(home) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 20, 2019 | Estoril(home) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 29, 2019 | Caldas(away) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 22, 2019 | Mafra(away) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 14, 2019 | Cova De Piedade(home) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Nacional win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Varzim win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2018 | Nacional 3-0 Varzim | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 29, 2017 | Varzim 0-0 Nacional | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Nacional score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Varzim score 0.9 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Varzim | 0.9 | 0.8 | 8 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy