Næsby vs Holbæk B&I: prediction and stats
3. DivisionRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)ALPI Arena Næsby, Odense
The Footlab AI model makes Holbæk B&I the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Næsby. The most likely score is 1-1. If Holbæk B&I wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,972 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Næsby vs Holbæk B&I?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Næsby (1,713) and Holbæk B&I (1,800).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Næsby vs Holbæk B&I
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Næsby
4-3-3- 9O. Koertz
- 10K. Host
- 20R. Larsen
- 15K. Nyegaard
- 18A. Kjaergaard
- 8L. Larsen
- 2A. Molberg
- 22L. Jensen
- 14A. Tomaselli
- 16R. Knudsen
- 1Rasmus Jepsen-Jacob
Holbæk B&I
Not enough data to predict the Holbæk B&I lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 05:38 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Næsby have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Holbæk B&I have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Vanløse(home) | 2-2 | 3. Division |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Frem(away) | 0-2 | 3. Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Holstebro(home) | 4-0 | 3. Division |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ringsted(away) | 2-1 | 3. Division |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FC Helsingor(home) | 1-1 | 3. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Holstebro(home) | 4-0 | 3. Division |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Vanløse(away) | 0-0 | 3. Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | ASA Aarhus(home) | 2-1 | 3. Division |
| Sep 25, 2026 | FC Helsingor(away) | 1-5 | 3. Division |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Ringsted(home) | 5-2 | 3. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Næsby wins, 2 draws, 2 Holbæk B&I wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Holbæk B&I 3-2 Næsby | 3. Division |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Holbæk B&I 1-2 Næsby | 3. Division |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Næsby 2-0 Holbæk B&I | 3. Division |
| May 24, 2025 | Holbæk B&I 2-2 Næsby | 3. Division |
| May 3, 2025 | Næsby 3-3 Holbæk B&I | 3. Division |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Holbæk B&I 4-0 Næsby | 3. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Næsby score 2.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Holbæk B&I score 2.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Næsby | 2.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Holbæk B&I | 2.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Næsby sit 5th in 3. Division (18 points from 12 matches) and Holbæk B&I sit 1st (26 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Holbæk B&I | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 26 |
| 5 | Næsby | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 18 |
A question about Næsby vs Holbæk B&I?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Næsby vs Holbæk B&I?
- The Footlab AI model makes Holbæk B&I the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Næsby.
- Where and when is Næsby vs Holbæk B&I played?
- Næsby vs Holbæk B&I is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at ALPI Arena Næsby, in the 3. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.