Næsby vs Holbæk B&I: prediction and stats
3. DivisionRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)ALPI Arena Næsby, Odense
The Footlab AI model makes Holbæk B&I the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Næsby. The most likely score is 1-1. If Holbæk B&I wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 3,019 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Næsby vs Holbæk B&I?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Næsby (1,716) and Holbæk B&I (1,803).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Næsby vs Holbæk B&I
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Næsby
4-3-3- 9O. Koertz
- 10K. Host
- 20R. Larsen
- 15K. Nyegaard
- 18A. Kjaergaard
- 8L. Larsen
- 2A. Molberg
- 22L. Jensen
- 14A. Tomaselli
- 16R. Knudsen
- 1Rasmus Jepsen-Jacob
Holbæk B&I
Not enough data to predict the Holbæk B&I lineup.
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 07:47 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Næsby have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Holbæk B&I have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Vanløse(home) | 2-2 | 3. Division |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Frem(away) | 0-2 | 3. Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Holstebro(home) | 4-0 | 3. Division |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ringsted(away) | 2-1 | 3. Division |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FC Helsingor(home) | 1-1 | 3. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Holstebro(home) | 4-0 | 3. Division |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Vanløse(away) | 0-0 | 3. Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | ASA Aarhus(home) | 2-1 | 3. Division |
| Sep 25, 2026 | FC Helsingor(away) | 1-5 | 3. Division |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Ringsted(home) | 5-2 | 3. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Næsby wins, 2 draws, 2 Holbæk B&I wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Holbæk B&I 3-2 Næsby | 3. Division |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Holbæk B&I 1-2 Næsby | 3. Division |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Næsby 2-0 Holbæk B&I | 3. Division |
| May 24, 2025 | Holbæk B&I 2-2 Næsby | 3. Division |
| May 3, 2025 | Næsby 3-3 Holbæk B&I | 3. Division |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Holbæk B&I 4-0 Næsby | 3. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Næsby score 2.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Holbæk B&I score 2.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Næsby | 2.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Holbæk B&I | 2.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Næsby sit 5th in 3. Division (18 points from 12 matches) and Holbæk B&I sit 1st (26 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Holbæk B&I | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 26 |
| 5 | Næsby | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 18 |
A question about Næsby vs Holbæk B&I?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Næsby vs Holbæk B&I?
- The Footlab AI model makes Holbæk B&I the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Næsby.
- Where and when is Næsby vs Holbæk B&I played?
- Næsby vs Holbæk B&I is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at ALPI Arena Næsby, in the 3. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.